Forsa poll of 3 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jul 2021 to 2 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jul 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 27 Jul 2021 to 2 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jul 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 28.1
- FDP +1.2average 11.8
- Grüne +0.9average 19.1
- Linke -0.9average 6.9
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- SPD -0.6average 16.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- Grüne138
- SPD111
- FDP90
- AfD69
- Linke42
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke333 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.