Forsa poll of 28 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 26 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jul 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.8 points lower and Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.8average 28.8
- Grüne +1.8average 19.2
- FDP +1.4average 11.6
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
- Linke +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne144
- SPD103
- FDP89
- AfD68
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.