Forsa poll of 21 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Jul 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +0.8average 11.2
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 28.7
- Grüne -0.7average 19.7
- AfD -0.6average 10.6
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
- Linke -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne130
- SPD110
- FDP82
- AfD68
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.