Forsa poll of 14 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jul 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jul 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 28.6
- AfD -1.3average 10.3
- Grüne -0.9average 19.9
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- FDP +0.8average 11.2
- Linke -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- Grüne130
- SPD103
- FDP82
- AfD62
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.