Forsa poll of 7 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jun 2021 to 5 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 29 Jun 2021 to 5 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 28.7
- Grüne -1.3average 20.3
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
- Linke -0.1average 7.1
- FDP ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- Grüne130
- SPD103
- FDP75
- AfD68
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.