Forsa poll of 30 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Jun 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.8 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 15.8
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 28.3
- AfD -1.2average 10.2
- Grüne -0.7average 20.7
- FDP +0.6average 11.4
- Linke -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- Grüne137
- SPD96
- FDP82
- AfD62
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.