Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
15 to 21 Jun 2021
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%+1.0
  • FDP13.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jun 2021.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.6average 10.6
  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 27.8
  • FDP +1.2average 11.8
  • Linke -1.2average 7.2
  • SPD -0.4average 15.4
  • Grüne -0.1average 21.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 196 seatsGrüne: 142 seatsSPD: 102 seatsFDP: 88 seatsAfD: 61 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU196
  • Grüne142
  • SPD102
  • FDP88
  • AfD61
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP386 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.