Single poll

Forsa poll of 26 May 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
18 to 21 May 2021
Respondents
2,004
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne25.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • FDP13.0%+2.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 May 2021.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 May 2021, FDP gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.7average 11.3
  • CDU/CSU -1.4average 25.4
  • Grüne +1.0average 24.0
  • SPD -1.0average 15.0
  • Linke -1.0average 7.0
  • AfD -0.8average 10.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 171 seatsCDU/CSU: 164 seatsSPD: 96 seatsFDP: 89 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne171
  • CDU/CSU164
  • SPD96
  • FDP89
  • AfD69
  • Linke41
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD336 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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