Single poll

Forsa poll of 2 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
25 to 31 May 2021
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
  • Grüne24.0%-1.0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • FDP14.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 May 2021.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 2.4 points higher and AfD 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +2.4average 11.6
  • AfD -2.1average 11.1
  • Linke -1.0average 7.0
  • SPD -0.9average 14.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 25.8
  • Grüne +0.7average 23.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 171 seatsGrüne: 164 seatsSPD: 96 seatsFDP: 96 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU171
  • Grüne164
  • SPD96
  • FDP96
  • AfD62
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD329 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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