Single poll

Forsa poll of 19 May 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 May 2021
Respondents
2,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 May 2021.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 May 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.5average 24.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.4average 25.4
  • Linke -1.0average 7.0
  • AfD -0.8average 10.8
  • SPD -0.1average 15.1
  • FDP -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 178 seatsCDU/CSU: 164 seatsSPD: 103 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne178
  • CDU/CSU164
  • SPD103
  • FDP75
  • AfD69
  • Linke41
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP356 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD336 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke322 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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