Single poll

Forsa poll of 12 May 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 May 2021
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne27.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 May 2021.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 May 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.7average 24.3
  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 25.3
  • Linke -1.3average 7.3
  • AfD -0.4average 10.4
  • SPD -0.2average 15.2
  • FDP -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 183 seatsCDU/CSU: 162 seatsSPD: 102 seatsFDP: 74 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne183
  • CDU/CSU162
  • SPD102
  • FDP74
  • AfD68
  • Linke41
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU345 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP359 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke326 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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