Single poll

Forsa poll of 5 May 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
27 Apr 2021 to 3 May 2021
Respondents
2,506
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne28.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
  • SPD14.0%+1.0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Apr 2021.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 27 Apr 2021 to 3 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 4.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 3.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.6average 23.4
  • CDU/CSU -3.5average 26.5
  • FDP +1.2average 10.8
  • Linke -1.2average 7.2
  • SPD -1.1average 15.1
  • AfD -0.6average 10.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 189 seatsCDU/CSU: 156 seatsSPD: 95 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne189
  • CDU/CSU156
  • SPD95
  • FDP81
  • AfD68
  • Linke41
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU345 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP365 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.