Single poll

Forsa poll of 28 April 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
20 to 26 Apr 2021
Respondents
2,507
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne28.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Apr 2021.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Apr 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 4.8 points lower and Grüne 4.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -4.8average 26.8
  • Grüne +4.6average 23.4
  • SPD -2.3average 15.3
  • FDP +1.6average 10.4
  • AfD +0.4average 10.6
  • Linke -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 190 seatsCDU/CSU: 149 seatsSPD: 88 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne190
  • CDU/CSU149
  • SPD88
  • FDP81
  • AfD75
  • Linke47
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU339 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP359 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD353 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD346 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke325 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + Linke318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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