Single poll

Forsa poll of 20 April 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
20 Apr 2021
Respondents
1,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne28.0%+5.0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-6.0
  • SPD13.0%-2.0
  • FDP12.0%+3.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Apr 2021.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 20 Apr 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU loses 6.0 points, Grüne gains 5.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 7.4 points lower and Grüne 6.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -7.4average 28.4
  • Grüne +6.6average 21.4
  • SPD -2.6average 15.6
  • FDP +2.2average 9.8
  • Linke -0.6average 7.6
  • AfD +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 192 seatsCDU/CSU: 144 seatsSPD: 89 seatsFDP: 82 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne192
  • CDU/CSU144
  • SPD89
  • FDP82
  • AfD75
  • Linke48
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU336 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD349 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke329 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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