Single poll

Forsa poll of 14 April 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
6 to 12 Apr 2021
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • Grüne23.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Apr 2021.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Apr 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Apr 2021, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.2average 21.8
  • SPD -1.0average 16.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
  • FDP -0.4average 9.4
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsGrüne: 156 seatsSPD: 102 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 61 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • Grüne156
  • SPD102
  • AfD74
  • FDP61
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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