Forsa poll of 24 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,511
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-3.0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Mar 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,511 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 4.8 points lower and Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.8average 30.8
- Grüne +2.1average 19.9
- FDP +1.4average 8.6
- SPD -1.0average 17.0
- AfD -0.4average 10.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne151
- SPD110
- FDP68
- AfD68
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.