Forsa poll of 31 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Mar 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.7 points higher and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.7average 21.3
- SPD -1.6average 16.6
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 28.1
- Linke -0.7average 7.7
- FDP +0.6average 9.4
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne156
- SPD102
- AfD74
- FDP68
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.