Forsa poll of 17 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-4.0
- Grüne21.0%+3.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Mar 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 4.1 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.1average 33.1
- Grüne +2.0average 19.0
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
- SPD -0.3average 16.3
- FDP +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- Grüne144
- SPD110
- AfD68
- FDP55
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.