Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 March 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Mar 2021
Respondents
2,510
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Mar 2021.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,510 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -0.9average 18.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 33.8
  • AfD -0.3average 10.3
  • Linke +0.2average 7.8
  • FDP +0.1average 7.9
  • SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 224 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 108 seatsAfD: 68 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU224
  • Grüne122
  • SPD108
  • AfD68
  • FDP54
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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