Forsa poll of 2 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Feb 2021 to 1 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU34.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Feb 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 25 Feb 2021 to 1 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.1average 10.1
- FDP -0.9average 7.9
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 34.3
- Grüne +0.2average 18.8
- SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU231
- Grüne129
- SPD108
- AfD61
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.