Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 February 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Feb 2021
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU35.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Feb 2021.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Feb 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.8average 9.8
  • FDP +0.6average 7.4
  • Linke -0.6average 7.6
  • SPD +0.2average 15.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 35.1
  • Grüne ±0average 19.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 237 seatsGrüne: 129 seatsSPD: 109 seatsFDP: 54 seatsAfD: 54 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU237
  • Grüne129
  • SPD109
  • FDP54
  • AfD54
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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