Forsa poll of 16 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%-2.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- AfD8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Feb 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 9.6
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 35.6
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- FDP -0.2average 7.2
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- Grüne129
- SPD109
- Linke54
- AfD54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.