Single poll

Forsa poll of 9 February 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Feb 2021
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Feb 2021.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Feb 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.5average 9.5
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 35.9
  • SPD -0.6average 15.6
  • Linke -0.6average 7.6
  • Grüne -0.1average 19.1
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 251 seatsGrüne: 129 seatsSPD: 102 seatsAfD: 54 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU251
  • Grüne129
  • SPD102
  • AfD54
  • FDP47
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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