Forsa poll of 2 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Jan 2021 to 1 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Jan 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 26 Jan 2021 to 1 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Jan 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 9.6
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 36.2
- FDP -0.6average 6.6
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- Grüne ±0average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU250
- Grüne129
- SPD102
- Linke54
- AfD54
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.