Forsa poll of 26 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 3,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jan 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 3,005 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jan 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 35.9
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- Linke -0.7average 7.7
- AfD -0.6average 9.6
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU251
- Grüne122
- SPD102
- AfD61
- FDP47
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.