Forsa poll of 18 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 17 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 2,014
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jan 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,014 people were surveyed from 16 to 17 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jan 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 36.1
- AfD -0.9average 9.9
- Grüne +0.3average 18.7
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- Grüne129
- SPD102
- AfD61
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.