Forsa poll of 9 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU36.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Dec 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Dec 2020, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.9 points lower and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.9average 9.9
- SPD -1.6average 15.6
- Grüne +1.0average 19.0
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 36.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- Grüne136
- SPD95
- Linke54
- AfD54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.