Single poll

Forsa poll of 8 August 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
3 to 7 Aug 2020
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Aug 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Aug 2020, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.3average 10.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 36.9
  • Grüne -0.7average 18.7
  • SPD -0.7average 14.7
  • Linke +0.2average 7.8
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 260 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsSPD: 96 seatsLinke: 55 seatsAfD: 55 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU260
  • Grüne123
  • SPD96
  • Linke55
  • AfD55
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne383 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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