Forsa poll of 15 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU36.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-2.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Aug 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Aug 2020, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 1.8 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.8average 7.8
- Grüne +1.6average 18.4
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 37.4
- AfD -1.3average 10.3
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- Grüne135
- SPD108
- AfD61
- FDP41
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.