Forsa poll of 1 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jul 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jul 2020, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.4average 10.4
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 37.1
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- Grüne -0.6average 18.6
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- FDP +0.3average 5.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU260
- Grüne123
- SPD96
- Linke55
- AfD55
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.