Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 July 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Jul 2020
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jul 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jul 2020, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 15.2
  • AfD -1.1average 10.1
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 37.4
  • Linke +0.2average 7.8
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
  • Grüne -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 257 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 95 seatsAfD: 61 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU257
  • Grüne122
  • SPD95
  • AfD61
  • Linke54
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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