Forsa poll of 18 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jul 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jul 2020, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.3average 15.3
- AfD -1.1average 10.1
- FDP +0.4average 5.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 37.7
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- Grüne ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU257
- Grüne122
- SPD95
- AfD61
- Linke54
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.