Forsa poll of 11 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Jul 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Jul 2020, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 15.4
- Linke -0.8average 7.8
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 37.5
- FDP +0.4average 5.6
- Grüne -0.3average 18.3
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU257
- Grüne122
- SPD95
- AfD68
- Linke47
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.