Single poll
Forsa poll of 4 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jun 2020 to 3 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 29 Jun 2020 to 3 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Jun 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.5average 15.5
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 37.7
- Grüne -0.2average 18.2
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU257
- Grüne122
- SPD95
- AfD68
- Linke54
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 27 Jun 2020Forsa, 11 Jul 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.