Single poll

Forsa poll of 27 June 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
22 to 26 Jun 2020
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Jun 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 15.4
  • Grüne -1.2average 18.2
  • FDP +0.5average 5.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 37.7
  • Linke +0.2average 7.8
  • AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 257 seatsGrüne: 115 seatsSPD: 95 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU257
  • Grüne115
  • SPD95
  • AfD68
  • Linke54
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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