Single poll

Forsa poll of 20 June 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
15 to 19 Jun 2020
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU39.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%+1.0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jun 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 15 to 19 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.1average 15.1
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 38.3
  • AfD -0.6average 9.6
  • FDP -0.6average 5.6
  • Grüne +0.1average 17.9
  • Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 264 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 95 seatsAfD: 61 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU264
  • Grüne122
  • SPD95
  • AfD61
  • Linke54
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne386 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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