Forsa poll of 16 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 May 2020
- Respondents
- 2,509
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU39.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 May 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 2,509 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 May 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.3average 10.3
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 38.1
- Grüne -0.5average 16.5
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU264
- Grüne108
- SPD102
- AfD61
- Linke54
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.