Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 May 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
18 to 22 May 2020
Respondents
2,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU40.0%+1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 May 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 May 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.1average 37.9
  • AfD -1.2average 10.2
  • FDP -0.9average 5.9
  • Grüne -0.8average 16.8
  • SPD -0.4average 15.4
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 271 seatsGrüne: 108 seatsSPD: 102 seatsAfD: 61 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU271
  • Grüne108
  • SPD102
  • AfD61
  • Linke54
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.