Forsa poll of 9 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 May 2020
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU40.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%-2.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 May 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 May 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 38.2
- Grüne -1.5average 16.5
- SPD -1.0average 16.0
- Linke -0.7average 7.7
- FDP +0.4average 5.6
- AfD -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU271
- SPD102
- Grüne101
- AfD68
- Linke47
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + SPD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.