Forsa poll of 2 May 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Apr 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.7average 16.7
- SPD +1.1average 15.9
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- AfD -0.2average 10.2
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
- CDU/CSU ±0average 38.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU257
- SPD115
- Grüne95
- AfD68
- Linke54
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + SPD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.