Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Apr 2020
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU39.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Apr 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Apr 2020, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.2average 17.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 37.7
  • AfD -1.1average 10.1
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
  • SPD -0.1average 16.1
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 264 seatsSPD: 108 seatsGrüne: 102 seatsAfD: 61 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU264
  • SPD108
  • Grüne102
  • AfD61
  • Linke54
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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