Single poll

Forsa poll of 18 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
14 to 17 Apr 2020
Respondents
2,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU39.0%+2.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Apr 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.4 points higher and Grüne 3.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +3.4average 35.6
  • Grüne -3.2average 18.2
  • FDP -1.2average 6.2
  • SPD -0.8average 16.8
  • AfD -0.3average 10.3
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 264 seatsSPD: 108 seatsGrüne: 102 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU264
  • SPD108
  • Grüne102
  • AfD68
  • Linke54
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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