Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
6 to 9 Apr 2020
Respondents
2,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Apr 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Apr 2020, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 4.2 points lower and CDU/CSU 3.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -4.2average 20.2
  • CDU/CSU +3.6average 33.4
  • AfD -0.8average 10.8
  • FDP -0.7average 5.7
  • SPD +0.5average 16.5
  • Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 251 seatsSPD: 115 seatsGrüne: 108 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU251
  • SPD115
  • Grüne108
  • AfD68
  • Linke54
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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