Forsa poll of 4 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Mar 2020 to 3 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 2,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Mar 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 30 Mar 2020 to 3 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 4.4 points lower and CDU/CSU 4.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.4average 20.4
- CDU/CSU +4.3average 32.7
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- SPD +1.0average 16.0
- Linke -0.2average 8.2
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU251
- SPD115
- Grüne108
- AfD61
- Linke54
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + SPD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP346 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.