Single poll

Forsa poll of 28 March 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
23 to 27 Mar 2020
Respondents
2,511
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%+4.0
  • Grüne17.0%-3.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Mar 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,511 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 5.3 points higher and Grüne 4.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +5.3average 30.7
  • Grüne -4.4average 21.4
  • AfD -2.3average 11.3
  • Linke -0.5average 8.5
  • SPD +0.4average 15.6
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 246 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsSPD: 110 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 55 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU246
  • Grüne116
  • SPD110
  • AfD62
  • Linke55
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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