Forsa poll of 21 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 20 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+3.0
- Grüne20.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%-2.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Mar 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.8 points higher and AfD 3.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.8average 28.2
- AfD -3.5average 12.5
- Grüne -2.3average 22.3
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- Grüne137
- SPD103
- Linke62
- AfD61
- FDP48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.