Single poll

Forsa poll of 14 March 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
9 to 13 Mar 2020
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+3.0
  • Grüne22.0%-2.0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Mar 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.3average 13.3
  • CDU/CSU +2.0average 27.0
  • SPD -1.7average 15.7
  • Linke +1.0average 9.0
  • FDP -0.6average 6.6
  • Grüne -0.1average 22.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 199 seatsGrüne: 151 seatsSPD: 96 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 68 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU199
  • Grüne151
  • SPD96
  • AfD75
  • Linke68
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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