Forsa poll of 7 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Feb 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Feb 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.1average 13.1
- Grüne +1.4average 22.6
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- Linke +0.7average 9.3
- FDP -0.4average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne164
- SPD103
- AfD75
- Linke69
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.