Single poll

Forsa poll of 29 February 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
24 to 28 Feb 2020
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • Grüne24.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+2.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-2.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Feb 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Feb 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.4 points lower and Grüne 2.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.4average 13.4
  • Grüne +2.2average 21.8
  • FDP -1.9average 6.9
  • SPD +1.0average 15.0
  • Linke +0.3average 9.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsGrüne: 164 seatsSPD: 110 seatsLinke: 69 seatsAfD: 68 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • Grüne164
  • SPD110
  • Linke69
  • AfD68
  • FDP34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke343 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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