Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 February 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
17 to 21 Feb 2020
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • Grüne24.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Feb 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Feb 2020, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 4.1 points lower and Grüne 2.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -4.1average 14.1
  • Grüne +2.7average 21.3
  • SPD -0.7average 14.7
  • Linke +0.5average 9.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsGrüne: 164 seatsSPD: 96 seatsLinke: 69 seatsAfD: 68 seatsFDP: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • Grüne164
  • SPD96
  • Linke69
  • AfD68
  • FDP48
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke329 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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